Is it binomial?
Binomial when: 2 outcomes · fixed n trials · independent (with replacement or a %) · same p each time. P(X) = C(n, X) · pˣ · (1 − p)ⁿ⁻ˣ.
P(X) = C(n, X) pˣ (1 − p)ⁿ⁻ˣ (P(X = x) = ₙCₓ pˣ qⁿ⁻ˣ)
- Unusual if P < 0.05.
- Guessing 20 questions, 5 choices (p = .2), at least 15 right = 1.8E−7 ≈ 0 → unlikely.